In the spirit of providing really awesome maps of the proceedings, I've created a fantastic follow-up map to yesterday's prediction map. Today, we look at where we are - which candidates have won each caucus or primary, and how would they look with their giant heads floating above those states. I hope you enjoy!
Thursday, January 31, 2008
Updating the primaries & cauci
In the spirit of providing really awesome maps of the proceedings, I've created a fantastic follow-up map to yesterday's prediction map. Today, we look at where we are - which candidates have won each caucus or primary, and how would they look with their giant heads floating above those states. I hope you enjoy!
Wednesday, January 30, 2008
Handicapping the 2008 election
note: we have narrowed the field down to viable candidates Hillary, Barack, Johnny, and Mitt
Likelihood of each candidate to reach the general election:
Johnny - 80%
Barack - 60%
Hillary - 40%
Mitt - 20%
Likelihood of each candidate to beat each potential general election opponent:
Johnny over Hillary - 75% (25%)
Barack over Johnny - 85% (15%)
Barack over Mitt - 90% (10%)
Hillary vs. Mitt - 50% (50%)
Likelihood that each candidate will be elected in November:
Barack - 51.6%
Johnny - 31.2%
Hillary - 12.0%
Mitt - 5.2%
Proposed betting odds* for each candidate:
Barack - 1:1
Johnny - 3:1
Hillary - 7:1
Mitt - 20:1
* This is not an actual betting opportunity, as we have no money to back it up
The following map and associated Electoral College projections are based on the numbers above, accounting for the various combinations. It simply shows the projected party that each state will align with. I don't consider Nebraska or Maine real states, so their split votes are being ignored.
Associated Electoral College votes:
Democratic Candidate - 248 (19 states, one district)
Republican Candidate - 216 (24 states)
Too close to project - 74 (7 states)
Electoral College votes needed to win - 270
Projected "swing" states:
Colorado, Iowa, Michigan, Missouri, Nevada, New Mexico, Ohio
proclamation by a democrapublican at 5:18 PM 1 kudo(s)
word association: awesome maps, barack, donkeys, elephants, Hillary, Johnny, Mitt, parties, primaries, serious thoughts, things i have tought you
Tuesday, January 29, 2008
The Sun City King of the Florida Republican Primary
Monday, January 28, 2008
2008 State of the Union Address: democrapublican response
- This year, the TelePrompTer was operated by White House AV Club Vice President, Jeffrey Singleton, formerly the President of the AV Club at Mallard Creek High School in Charlotte, North Carolina. Go Mavericks! Way to represent, Jeffrey!
- President Bush wants the United States to reduce its dependence on oil. In an effort to expedite the process, George has flown Air Force One (yes, he's a pilot) to Riyadh sixteen times to meet personally with Sultan bin Abdul Aziz, the Saudi Crown Prince, attempting to determine whether or not there are any abundant Middle Eastern resources that may be used as alternative fuel sources. The leading possibilities right now are: palm oil, gold, silver, myrrh, and harnessing the latent heat of sand. In a rare improvisational moment, George shared the details of an exchange between the two leaders: "So, I said, 'Princy,' I call him Princy. I said, 'Princy, you seen the cost of a barrel of oil lately? Pretty outrageous?' 'Yes, George,' Princy said, 'I knew it must be so when my driver pulled up in a Rolls to drive me from my yacht's fifth level sun deck to dinner at the Four Seasons located next to the Virgin Room behind the bridge. Apparently, they replaced the entire yacht automobile fleet!' I just about died laughing, 'cause I remember those cramped Mercedes sedans they used to shuttle us in."
- Reaffirmed commitment to work towards reversing the growth of greenhouse gasses. Prediction: next year's Academy Award winning film-inspired action will be to remove all coinage from circulation, in order to limit the spread of Javier Bardem, friend-o.
- About Iraq, Bush laid the groundwork for a potential early fall 2008 invasion of Baghdad. The idea harkens back to the glory days of 2003 when the vast liberal media conspiracy vastly and liberally mediated their conspiratorial news stories by parroting the administration's foreign policy verbatim, in fact directly from the talking points distributed at the 1600 P.A. lemonade stand by Scooter Libby.
- Promised to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict by December 2008. He then started to re-tell his Sultan bin Abdul Aziz story, before Jeffrey got his attention and focused him back on the TelePrompTer.
If I seem sardonic in this post, it's just because my stomach is upset. Actually, I missed most of the speech as a result. By "most," I mean "all." But, I do sincerely apologize if I come across as skeptical.
Sunday, January 27, 2008
"Donkeys are really nice"
Friday, January 25, 2008
Perissodactylae
The donkey is a member of the order Perissodactyla, more commonly referred to as odd-toed ungulates. I'm sure that your reaction is as mine was, that the collective number of toes on the animal must equate to an odd number. That, or my alternate theory, that their toes are simply odd-shapen. But, you're wrong. In fact, they're referred to as odd-toed because they have an odd number of toes on each individual hoof. For instance, 1. Perhaps, 5. More commonly, 3. Assuming your neighborhood perissodactyl has four legs, as is apparently common among land mammals, you can perform the simple math and come to the conclusion that he or she has an even number of toes, likely 12 (donkeys have 4). And, like me, you're thinking that they should really be called even-toed ungulates, because who cares about each individual hoof - I'm concerned with the whole of the being. But, apparently there are other ungulates that are referred to as even-toed ungulates, which means that ungulates like ours cannot be called even-toed ungulates, and that they must inaccurately be labeled as odd-toed ungulates. Don't get me started on labels. Are you following me?
A few important words about perissodactylae doo doo:
proclamation by a democrapublican at 3:16 PM 1 kudo(s)
word association: donkeys, doo doo, family, google, hindgut fermentation, things i have tought you, ungulates
Thursday, January 24, 2008
Bill Clinton, mouthy broad
That's all well and good, but does that in itself qualify him to place himself in the middle of the 2008 election cycle? I think so. In fact, when you combine that with his new post-heart surgery gaunt look, and his beautifully formed coif of white hair, I can think of no other person that I would want to see whoring himself for camera time in the name of his presidential bid. By that I mean his wife Hillary's presidential bid, of course.
While I always enjoy seeing Bill in front of the microphones slamming his (Hillary's) political opponents, I particularly enjoy seeing Bill in front of the microphones slamming Barack. It seems that every time he opens his mouth on camera, he's either telling reporters how terrible Barack is, or telling them that instead of conducting this interview, they should be covering how terrible Barack is. Sometimes, he goes to college campuses and tells students (on camera) that they should demand that the media tell them more about how terrible Barack is. In fact, I was watching an old Saturday Night Live episode from the early 90s, and there was Phil Hartman as Bill in a debate with Dana Carvey as Church Lady, and Bill was telling Church Lady that if he were elected, he would demand changes in media practices to include telling the American people how terrible Barack is. As Bill apparently sees it, there is nothing more pressing for the media to focus on than Barack, and his terrible ... terribilit ... terriblenes ... and how terrible he is.
This brings us to yesterday. Bill was busy campaigning on the coast of South Carolina, when a reporter asked him a question that had nothing to do with how terrible Barack is. As anyone would, Bill took offense to the question, and answered with the following tirade:
"They're feeding you this because this is what you want to cover; this is what you live for, but this hurts the people of South Carolina. What you care about is this and the Obama people know that, so they spin you up on this and you happily go along. The people don't care about this. They never ask about it. And you are determined to take this election away from them. One more story. Shame on you. Shame on you."
I look forward to a day when the media returns its focus to what is really important: how terrible Bill thinks Barack is.
Monday, January 21, 2008
Martin Luther King, Jr.
proclamation by a democrapublican at 9:43 AM 0 kudo(s)
word association: racial bias, serious thoughts, underdogs
Friday, January 18, 2008
A preview of South Carolina
1. South Carolina Primary - Elephants
I'm clueless. I can't read the people of South Carolina, which is kinda ironic. But, what I know is this: Ken Huckabee is a lock to lead the South Carolina Primary until the 11th hour. At the 11th hour, as Rudy and Mitt enjoy a burlesque show together in Vegas, Huckabee will watch in a helpless stupor as the Diebolds take a huge swing westward. Johnny snatches victory from the jaws of irrelevance, and leaves South Carolina with an enormous weekend sweep of the South Carolina Primary and the New Mexico Caucuses.
2. South Carolina Primary - Donkeys
Much more interesting than the baby elephant walk the Saturday before, Columbia will be enthralled by the goings on in the donkey primary. Will the South Carolina people support a mouthy broad? What about a sorta black dude? Or, a short, politically irrelevant guy? Or, will they stick with my first instinct and go with John E. from the cooler Carolina? As the day unfolds, it is clear that this one is going down to the wire. The second weekend of the tournament is clearly going to be more interesting than the first. John E. generally holds small leads throughout, while Hillary and Barack duke it out to see if either can challenge him. As the day winds down, it becomes apparent that Edwards is the soup du jour, and that Barack will leave with a solid #2 finish. Until Hillary pulls up from the top of the key and her shot nestles into the net. On the subsequent possession, Barack trips over Dennis while trying to pass the ball up court to John E., and Hillary takes it away - along with the lead, as her three pointer from the elbow bounces off the rim, the backboard, and the rim again before falling through. She ices the game from the free throw line, and ends up with a strong 13 point victory in South Carolina. Let the inauguration planning commence.
A preview of Nevada
In fact, I have been dubbed the "Joe Lunardi of Presidential Primary Madness." In the spirit of that dubbing, I have created "game trackers" for this weekend's South Carolina primary and Nevada caucus. You'll see in them shifts in momentum, underdogs giving favorites a run for their money, and you'll know exactly when Hillary hits those back-to-back three pointers to put the proverbial nail in the South Carolina coffin. But, we'll start with Nevada.
Early Vegas betting lines have Rudy and Mitt neck and neck in the race. Early Vegas betting lines don't play the games though, and as you'll see, Rudy quickly is exposed for the fraud 4 seed that he is. Underdog Ken Huckabee actually plays him closely for much of the day, before breaking away to steal third place by two percentage points. More fascinating is the race between Mitt and Johnny. Mitt, with his enormous size advantage, jumps out to an early lead on the strength of his post play. As the day wears on, however, political elite underdog favorite Johnny starts to assert himself, and makes one final push to steal the day with 27% of the vote. Caucus members look cross-eyed at each other, trying to figure out what exactly happened, but they begrudgingly cross Mitt's name off their brackets and replace him with Johnny.
Nevada Caucus - Donkeys:
If you think the action was heated in the Nevada Pod, wait until you see what happens in South Carolina!!
Coming later today: a preview of South Carolina & Nevada
proclamation by a democrapublican at 9:26 AM 0 kudo(s)
word association: primaries, things i have tought you
Thursday, January 17, 2008
Vague but patently false
Now, to the topic: Tim Bedore
If you haven't heard of this nefarious mouthpiece of hate, you will now. Mr. Bedore hosts a weekly radio program that exists largely to promote the hatred of animals. The show is entitled "Vague but True (sic)." Mr. Bedore doesn't just hate certain species, like Stephen Colbert (bears). We mean, he hates ALL animals. He has worked himself into a frenzy, convinced that there is a (animal) kingdom-wide campaign being mounted to rid the world of human beings. He states that "the animals must be stopped."
As a well-established advocate for the humane treatment of donkeys and elephants, I now announce a formal and pointed counter-campaign to stop Tim Bedore from spreading hatred and lies against donkeys and elephants, and to stop inciting the masses to act in kind.
Here is an example, where Mr. Bedore clearly states in print on his website that a donkey, at Jesus' behest, was intricately involved in early attempts to increase pollutants in our atmosphere, thus presumably leading to the global warming crisis that we face today, thus leading to the anticipated end of all human life by the year 2045. Seriously, Mr. Bedore, you are espousing a theory that a donkey is to blame for billions and billions of (anticipated) deaths? I am sickened. And, to think there are people who fall for this.
Here is the text. Read it for yourself, then you can decide to be as righteously indignant as I always am.
Wednesday, January 16, 2008
Nevada Caucus
You'll immediately be appalled by our unethical treatment of the donkey in the Nevada graphic. At first glance, it appears that the elephant has played a mean and dirty trick on the donkey, and taken advantage of his superior size and trunk strength. Elephants will be elephants, right? The reality, however, is that the donkey just had a few too many tequila shooters while partying at Mon Ami Gabi, and was dared into doing this willingly. When in Paris, right? Speaking of international travel with donkeys, we don't recommend it. Some countries don't have vocal donkey advocates, and you never know what your donkey will end up doing.
Well, not to worry, the big elephant will have his day of misfortune, too, I'm certain.
Premier of the Las Vegas democrapublican graphic:
proclamation by a democrapublican at 1:57 PM 0 kudo(s)
word association: donkeys, elephants, elephants being elephants, parties, primaries, unethical treatment of donkeys
Tuesday, January 15, 2008
Things I've learned at the zoo
All this is to say that the local African elephants are actually African Bush Elephants (Loxodonta africana). The more I think about it, the more grateful I am that our zoo opted to acquire these elephants - because of their street cred.
I think most people are familiar with Asian elephants (Elephas maximus), also known as "Indian elephants," or "not African elephants." You simply take one look at them - the rounded backs, the smallish facial features (you call those ears?), the oddly abundant toes, the inability to sustain eye contact, the freakish single trunk-finger, the weird gray skin color, the inability to both drive a car and focus on driving a car simulaneously, the males' much smaller trunks, the girls that usually don't even have tusks. To say the least, Asian elephants are inferior in every way to their African cousins.
What most don't know, even many in the industry, is that the African Forest Elephant (Loxodonta cyclotis) is a fraud, too. The slang term is "halfsie". Let me learn you on this topic, so you'll know what I know, because I know all about it.
You see, one day a very large bull African Bush Elephant (3.85m tall at the shoulder) caught a flight to some south Asian island. He was chillin' on the beach, hanging with some of his righteous cattle peeps, when a little cow Asian elephant sauntered by on her moped. She certainly caught Big Al's eye, with her little boom boom, tusklessness, and big, blue eyes. He was so intrigued by her that he trumpeted the climax of the 1812 Overture in her direction while he stomped his big elephant feet and crashed his big African elephant ear cymbals in time. This is the ultimate elephant pick-up line. Long story short, they got married, hooked up, had a little boy, got divorced, and Big Al moved back in with his parents.
So the little boy, we'll call him "Ele-Bama", lives his whole life feeling very much like an African elephant. Compared to all of his contemparies, his ears are bigger, his trunk is two-fingered, even his trumpeting has a little more rhythm and a deeper, more bellowing sound to it. This serves him well as he travels around the world growing up, learning about different cultures and religions, meeting a diverse company of animals, attending the best schools, and becoming a prominent elephant attorney. Before long, he finds his way into regional and ultimately national elephant contests, and is even thrust into the race to see who is going to be the elephant of elephants (Asian category).
Then one day, an elephant pundit from Mumbai makes a startling observation. "Ele-Bama," he says, "is not a real African elephant. He has no legitimate African elephant credibility." And, the pundit was spot-on in his criticism. Compared to African Bush Elephants, Ele-Bama had a weird, gray skin tone. He had rounder, slightly smaller ears. He had those weird extra toes. He had straight, pink-tinged, downward-angled tusks. He was even smaller than a typical African Bush Elephant. And, perhaps most importantly, his family never experienced the radical treatment that has beset African elephants historically in all of Asia, particularly south Asia.
An introspective Ele-Bama reflects during a campaign stop
Now you know the origins of the African Forest Elephant: thought by many to be a real African elephant, but really just the bastard offspring of a horny African Bush Elephant and his temporary Asian lover.
proclamation by a democrapublican at 1:02 PM 0 kudo(s)
word association: barack, divorce, elephant pick-up lines, elephants, elephants being elephants, family, marriage, racial bias, things i have tought you
The Game of Politics
White House: "Go fish"
State Governor: "We want revisions to 'No Child Left Behind'"
White House: "Go fish"
White House: "We want another 100 billion dollars for the war against terror"
Congress: "Go fish"
Congress: "We want to blame the White House for everything"
Media: "Yeah, we've got a match for that"
White House: "Anyone up for Simon Says?"
Monday, January 14, 2008
Pictures of Elephants
Moreover, I find it remarkable that when you pick random animals and Google Image search for them on the Google, there are inevitably pictures of these animals mating with each other on the first row. I wonder aloud if there is a Google mind-control sex agenda. I almost Google Image searched "Elephants and Donkeys", but given the Google mind-control sex agenda I shudder to think what would come up. Besides, my aforementioned unfortunate children are the offspring of elephant and donkey happenings, so I live the nightmare every day. (Just kidding honey. Remember, it's Google talking.)
Elephant walking:
Elephants searching for sports utility vehicle in large, dusty parking lot:
Google Image: Elephants (medium-sized)
Pictures of Donkeys
Speaking of Cyrano, did anybody else catch Hillary's good cry during the New Hampshire inauguration festivities? I knew Bill was good, but I didn't know he was THAT good. Stunning narcissism on display. What's that you say? You've seen the clip already. Wow - the readership is on top of it.
Donkeys being donkeys:
democrapublicans unite!
This blog, in its infancy, is a platform for sharing the clever graphics of the newly formed "democrapublican Party". All graphics are property of this blogger, please use liberally (or conservatively, if you prefer) and extend credit where due (or "doo").