As most of my readership already knows, I have a remarkable historic track record of accurately projecting primary and caucus results. When the talking heads are talking, I'm sitting back watching the proceedings aghast, hoping none of it is true, but knowing that it really is because I indeed foretold it.
In fact, I have been dubbed the "Joe Lunardi of Presidential Primary Madness." In the spirit of that dubbing, I have created "game trackers" for this weekend's South Carolina primary and Nevada caucus. You'll see in them shifts in momentum, underdogs giving favorites a run for their money, and you'll know exactly when Hillary hits those back-to-back three pointers to put the proverbial nail in the South Carolina coffin. But, we'll start with Nevada.
In fact, I have been dubbed the "Joe Lunardi of Presidential Primary Madness." In the spirit of that dubbing, I have created "game trackers" for this weekend's South Carolina primary and Nevada caucus. You'll see in them shifts in momentum, underdogs giving favorites a run for their money, and you'll know exactly when Hillary hits those back-to-back three pointers to put the proverbial nail in the South Carolina coffin. But, we'll start with Nevada.
1. Nevada Caucus - Elephants
Early Vegas betting lines have Rudy and Mitt neck and neck in the race. Early Vegas betting lines don't play the games though, and as you'll see, Rudy quickly is exposed for the fraud 4 seed that he is. Underdog Ken Huckabee actually plays him closely for much of the day, before breaking away to steal third place by two percentage points. More fascinating is the race between Mitt and Johnny. Mitt, with his enormous size advantage, jumps out to an early lead on the strength of his post play. As the day wears on, however, political elite underdog favorite Johnny starts to assert himself, and makes one final push to steal the day with 27% of the vote. Caucus members look cross-eyed at each other, trying to figure out what exactly happened, but they begrudgingly cross Mitt's name off their brackets and replace him with Johnny.
Early Vegas betting lines have Rudy and Mitt neck and neck in the race. Early Vegas betting lines don't play the games though, and as you'll see, Rudy quickly is exposed for the fraud 4 seed that he is. Underdog Ken Huckabee actually plays him closely for much of the day, before breaking away to steal third place by two percentage points. More fascinating is the race between Mitt and Johnny. Mitt, with his enormous size advantage, jumps out to an early lead on the strength of his post play. As the day wears on, however, political elite underdog favorite Johnny starts to assert himself, and makes one final push to steal the day with 27% of the vote. Caucus members look cross-eyed at each other, trying to figure out what exactly happened, but they begrudgingly cross Mitt's name off their brackets and replace him with Johnny.
Nevada Caucus - Donkeys:
Pundits have spent all week predicting a dominating performance by Hillary in the Nevada Caucuses. As stated by one pundit, "Hillary has the size advantage down low, the experience factor on her side, and a quick first step that leaves opponents shaking their heads. However, if she happens to lose, don't be surprised to see her over on the sideline with her jersey pulled over her head, hurting for our loss, of course." I suppose Barack is the dark-horse here, or dark-donkey as it were. Is that politically incorrect? Probably. Can I retract that last statement? Barack is the underdog in Nevada, while Dennis is playing in the play-in game to decide who gets crushed by North Carolina on Thursday night ... ahem, I mean, John E., of course. Well, this day does not go according to the script. Barack jumps out to an early, solid lead. Hillary struggles to keep it close, throwing up desperation mascara run after desperation mascara run. At 5:00 in the afternoon, ABC News briefly calls the race for Barack, and reports that Hillary will shortly make a concession speech in which she drops out of the race. Surprisingly, this information is quickly discredited - yet, Obama retains his lead and wins by a comfortable 12 point margin, having put the scrubs in to finish the job.
If you think the action was heated in the Nevada Pod, wait until you see what happens in South Carolina!!
1 comment:
Joe Lunardi would be ashamed. Clearly, I know nothing about Las Vegas. But, the graphic was really cool, eh??!!
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